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The Chiefs are favored against the Raiders in Week 4 of the NFL season.

Breaking down the odds and best bet prediction for NFL Week 4 action in the AFC West between the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders.
The Chiefs are favored against the Raiders in Week 4 of the NFL season.

The Kansas City Chiefs are already 1-0 in AFC West play, beating the Denver Broncos in Week 1. They'll now hit the road to take on the Las Vegas Raiders for the first time this season.

The Raiders have been one of the most surprising teams of the season thus far, rattling off three straight wins, including two upset victories against the Chargers and Saints. This Sunday's AFC West showdown will be a litmus test for just how good they are.

Odds via BetMGM Sportsbook

Brock Bowers made his first start of the season in Week 3 and immediately made a massive impact. He hauled in 10 receptions for 116 yards and a touchdown. If he can continue to produce at that level, the Raiders may find themselves in a playoff race in a few months' time.

In this week's edition of the Road to 272 Bets, I broke down why I'm betting the UNDER in this AFC West matchup:

The Raiders' defense continues to be one of the best in the NFL to start the year, ranking second in opponent EPA per play and eighth in opponent success rate. They've also allowed just 5.2 yards per snap.

The Kansas City defense has also been elite, ranking third in opponent yards per play (4.7), while also ranking sixth in both opponent EPA per play and opponent success rate.

I understand this is a game that Patrick Mahomes will be playing in, but other than that, I'm surprised by the total of 47.5. Both defenses have been top-10 units, so I expect this total to go UNDER.

Pick: UNDER 47.5 (-108) via BetMGM

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You can check out all of Iain's bets here!

Use BetMGM promo code ‘SI1500’ to get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets when you register and place your first wager with BetMGM Sportsbook. Deposit at least $10, make your pick, and BetMGM will return your full stake if you lose.

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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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It was published on September 29, 2026 and last updated on October 9, 2026. The time of the story is shown in your own time zone on the page.

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